Barachovich I.I. 1
1 Krasnoyarsky State Pedagogical University named after V.P. Astafiev
The article gives the concept of predictive scenario as a method of forecasting of results of changes in education, as a technological element in the solving of problems of education modernization, as a way to promote innovations in education. The analysis of available models of education modernization scenarios (the development of education until 2020) is carried out. Conclusions on the identification of preconditions, factors of predicting of the education development of a future teacher, development of a predictive background, definition of driving forces, criteria of a goal’s achievement and rationale of alternatives are drawn. The analysis is given to existing expected scenarios of development of education within modernization and the education development program till 2020. The innovative educational space is treated as the main condition and a factor of development of communicative potential and future teacher. Development happens according to the principles of a preobrazovatelnost, pragmatism and conventionality.